Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCagliari to win ✗44% · @2.32
Double chanceCagliari or draw ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Cagliari vs Lecce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cagliari welcome Lecce to Unipol Domus for a Serie A fixture on Monday 16 February (20:45 WAT). In the table, Cagliari are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Lecce are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cagliari 1.3 xG, Lecce 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cagliari 44%, draw 28%, Lecce 28%.
Lower-risk option: Cagliari or draw (72%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cagliari or draw (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cagliari 1–0 Lecce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cagliari44%fair 2.28 · @2.32
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.92
Lecce28%fair 3.60 · @3.35
2.24Expected goals
1.30Cagliari xG
0.95Lecce xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cagliari 1.3 – 0.9 Lecce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✗
44%
2.28
2.32
Double chance
Cagliari or draw✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Cagliari (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Lecce +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Cagliari to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Cagliari
No recent results on record.
Lecce
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cagliari and Lecce.
Our pick is Cagliari or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cagliari vs Lecce?
On our numbers Cagliari have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lecce 28%.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Lecce?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Lecce?
Our predicted score is Cagliari 1–0 Lecce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cagliari vs Lecce?
Cagliari vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Unipol Domus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
