Fiorentina v Pisa Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFiorentina to win ✓59% · @1.63

Double chanceFiorentina or draw ✓82% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Fiorentina vs Pisa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 23 February the Serie A brings Fiorentina against Pisa at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentina 2.0 xG, Pisa 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentina 59%, draw 23%, Pisa 18%.
Lower-risk option: Fiorentina or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentina 1–1 Pisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fiorentina59%fair 1.70 · @1.63

Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.80

Pisa18%fair 5.43 · @5.20

3.07Expected goals

1.98Fiorentina xG

1.10Pisa xG

58%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–110%

1–09%

2–09%

3–17%

3–06%

From our goals model: Fiorentina 2.0 – 1.1 Pisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Fiorentina to win ✓	59%	1.70	1.63
Double chance	Fiorentina or draw ✓	82%	1.23	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.71	1.80 ▲
Draw no bet	Fiorentina (draw no bet) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Asian handicap	Pisa +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.13
First team to score	Fiorentina to score first ✓	61%	1.63	–
Half-time result	Fiorentina ahead at half-time ✓	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina ✓	36%	2.74	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.09	–

Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+15	28
3	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	+21	27
4	AC Milan	11	7	3	1	+10	24
5	Como	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	+9	20
7	Juventus	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	-5	16
10	Napoli	11	4	3	4	+4	15
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	-2	14
12	Atalanta	11	4	2	5	-3	14
13	Genoa	11	4	1	6	-5	13
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	-8	9
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-13	8
18	Monza	11	2	1	8	-8	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	-13	5

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Pisa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Pisa?

On our numbers Fiorentina have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pisa 18%.

How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Pisa?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Pisa?

Our predicted score is Fiorentina 1–1 Pisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Fiorentina vs Pisa?

Fiorentina vs Pisa (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Fiorentina v Pisa: numbers & prediction

Fiorentina

Pisa

Over 1.5 goals