Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Cagliari to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultParma to win ✗36% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.41
Parma vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Parma welcome Cagliari to Stadio Ennio Tardini for a Serie A fixture on Friday 27 February (20:45 WAT). In the table, Parma are 16th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Cagliari are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 1.0 xG, Cagliari 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 36%, draw 31%, Cagliari 33%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Cagliari to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 1–1 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma36%fair 2.76 · @2.38
Draw31%fair 3.25 · @2.86
Cagliari33%fair 3.04 · @3.35
2.05Expected goals
1.04Parma xG
1.00Cagliari xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Parma 1.0 – 1.0 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parma to win✗
36%
2.76
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.73
Draw no bet
Parma (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Cagliari +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Parma to score first
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.41
–
Recent results
Parma – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Verona
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Lecce
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Cagliari.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Parma vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Parma have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Cagliari 33%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–1 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Cagliari?
Parma vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
