Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNapoli to win ✓59% · @1.56
Double chanceNapoli or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.24
Napoli vs Torino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 March the Serie A brings Napoli against Torino at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Napoli are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Torino are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Torino, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lazio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napoli 1.8 xG, Torino 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli 59%, draw 23%, Torino 18%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli 1–0 Torino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napoli59%fair 1.70 · @1.56
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.75
Torino18%fair 5.57 · @6.20
2.68Expected goals
1.76Napoli xG
0.92Torino xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.8 – 0.9 Torino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Napoli
Torino
Attack vs Serie A average
+15%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.04
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✓
59%
1.70
1.56
Double chance
Napoli or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Napoli (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Torino +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Napoli to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Napoli – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Atalanta
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs AS Roma
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Torino – last 3
WLL
1 Mar
vs Lazio
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Genoa
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Bologna
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Torino.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Napoli vs Torino?
On our numbers Napoli have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torino 18%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Torino?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Torino?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–0 Torino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Torino?
Napoli vs Torino (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
