Torino 43%Draw 29%Parma 28%Expected goals 1.32 – 0.92
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultTorino to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceTorino or draw ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Torino vs Parma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Parma travel to face Torino on Friday 13 March in the Serie A, with Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Torino are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Parma are 16th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Torino, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Napoli, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Parma, last 4: DDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fiorentina, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Parma, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Torino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torino 1.3 xG, Parma 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torino 43%, draw 29%, Parma 28%.
Lower-risk option: Torino or draw (72%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torino 1–0 Parma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torino43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.90
Parma28%fair 3.62 · @3.55
2.23Expected goals
1.32Torino xG
0.92Parma xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Torino 1.3 – 0.9 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torino to win✓
43%
2.31
2.25
Double chance
Torino or draw✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Torino (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Parma +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
1.06
First team to score
Torino to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torino / FT Torino✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.08
–
Recent results
Torino – last 4
LWLL
6 Mar
@ Napoli
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Lazio
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Genoa
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Bologna
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Parma – last 4
DDWW
8 Mar
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Cagliari
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Verona
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torino and Parma.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Torino vs Parma?
On our numbers Torino have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Parma 28%.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Parma?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torino vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Torino 1–0 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Torino vs Parma?
Torino vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
