Inter welcome AS Roma to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 5 April (19:45 WAT). In the table, Inter are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; AS Roma are 3rd (among the top four) with 27. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Inter, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Como, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
AS Roma, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Bologna, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AS Roma, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Inter.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Inter 1.8 xG, AS Roma 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Inter 56%, draw 22%, AS Roma 22%.
Lower-risk option: Inter or draw (78%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter 1–1 AS Roma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Inter56%fair 1.80 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.75
AS Roma22%fair 4.55 · @5.10
3.03Expected goals
1.85Inter xG
1.18AS Roma xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Inter 1.8 – 1.2 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.91
Draw no bet
Inter (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
AS Roma +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.10
First team to score
Inter to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✓
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Inter – last 3
DLL
3 Mar
@ Como
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ BodoGlimt
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
DLDLWD
19 Mar
vs Bologna
3–3
D
15 Mar
@ Como
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Bologna
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Genoa
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Cremonese
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Napoli
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and AS Roma.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Inter vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Inter have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AS Roma 22%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs AS Roma?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Inter 1–1 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Inter vs AS Roma?
Inter vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cremonese1
Pisa0