Value bet: Everton to win @ 3.70 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultManchester United to win ✓45% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Everton vs Manchester United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Everton welcome Manchester United to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Monday 23 February (21:00 WAT). In the table, Everton are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Manchester United are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Everton 1.4 xG, Manchester United 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Everton 29%, draw 25%, Manchester United 45%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Everton to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton 1–1 Manchester United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Everton29%fair 3.41 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.65
Manchester United45%fair 2.20 · @1.90
2.85Expected goals
1.40Everton xG
1.45Manchester United xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Everton 1.4 – 1.4 Manchester United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✓
45%
2.20
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
Manchester United (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Everton +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Manchester United to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Everton
No recent results on record.
Manchester United
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton and Manchester United.
What is the prediction for Everton vs Manchester United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Everton vs Manchester United?
On our numbers Everton have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Manchester United 45%.
How many goals will there be in Everton vs Manchester United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Manchester United?
Our predicted score is Everton 1–1 Manchester United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Everton vs Manchester United?
Everton vs Manchester United (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
