Bournemouth 45%Draw 21%Manchester United 34%Expected goals 2.01 – 1.34
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Bournemouth to win @ 3.20 – our chance 45% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +43%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBournemouth to win ✗45% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Bournemouth vs Manchester United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manchester United travel to face Bournemouth on Friday 20 March in the Premier League, with Vitality Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Bournemouth are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Manchester United are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Manchester United, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Aston Villa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 2.0 xG, Manchester United 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 45%, draw 21%, Manchester United 34%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Bournemouth to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 2–1 Manchester United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bournemouth45%fair 2.23 · @3.20
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.70
Manchester United34%fair 2.92 · @2.06
3.35Expected goals
2.01Bournemouth xG
1.34Manchester United xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 2.0 – 1.3 Manchester United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win✗
45%
2.23
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Draw no bet
Bournemouth (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Manchester United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
Bournemouth to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Bournemouth ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth✗
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Bournemouth – last 2
DD
3 Mar
vs Brentford
0–0
D
28 Feb
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Manchester United – last 4
WLWW
15 Mar
vs Aston Villa
3–1
W
4 Mar
@ Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Everton
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Manchester United.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Manchester United 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 2–1 Manchester United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
Bournemouth vs Manchester United (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
