Manchester United 55%Draw 24%Leeds 22%Expected goals 1.68 – 1.23
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester United to win ✗55% · @1.55
Double chanceManchester United or draw ✗78% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Manchester United vs Leeds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leeds travel to face Manchester United on Monday 13 April in the Premier League, with Old Trafford the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Manchester United are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Leeds are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Manchester United, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bournemouth, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Leeds, last 4: DWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Crystal Palace, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Manchester United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Leeds.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester United 1.7 xG, Leeds 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester United 55%, draw 24%, Leeds 22%.
Lower-risk option: Manchester United or draw (78%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester United 1–1 Leeds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester United55%fair 1.83 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @4.10
Leeds22%fair 4.60 · @5.60
2.91Expected goals
1.68Manchester United xG
1.23Leeds xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Manchester United 1.7 – 1.2 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✗
55%
1.83
1.55
Double chance
Manchester United or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Manchester United (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Leeds +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.18
First team to score
Manchester United to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Manchester United – last 5
DWLWW
20 Mar
@ Bournemouth
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Aston Villa
3–1
W
4 Mar
@ Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Everton
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Leeds – last 4
DWLD
15 Mar
@ Crystal Palace
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Norwich
3–0
W
3 Mar
vs Sunderland
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Aston Villa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester United and Leeds.
What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Leeds?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Manchester United vs Leeds?
On our numbers Manchester United have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leeds 22%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Leeds?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Leeds?
Our predicted score is Manchester United 1–1 Leeds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Manchester United vs Leeds?
Manchester United vs Leeds (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
