MTK Budapest vs Paks: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paks travel to face MTK Budapest on Friday 20 March in the NB I, with Hidegkuti Nandor Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, MTK Budapest are 10th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 13 matches; Paks are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
MTK Budapest, last 4: DDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gyori ETO FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MTK Budapest 1.6 xG, Paks 2.0 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MTK Budapest 32%, draw 22%, Paks 46%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: MTK Budapest 1–2 Paks. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MTK Budapest32%fair 3.14 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.70
Paks46%fair 2.15 · @2.05
3.66Expected goals
1.64MTK Budapest xG
2.02Paks xG
70%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: MTK Budapest 1.6 – 2.0 Paks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paks to win✓
46%
2.15
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.44
1.36
Draw no bet
Paks (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
MTK Budapest +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
First team to score
Paks to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Paks ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paks / FT Paks✓
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
MTK Budapest – last 4
DDDL
13 Mar
@ Gyori ETO FC
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Diosgyori VTK
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Debreceni VSC
2–2
D
23 Feb
vs Ferencvarosi TC
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paks – last 1
L
22 Feb
vs Gyori ETO FC
3–4
L
3.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MTK Budapest and Paks.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Paks?
On our numbers MTK Budapest have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paks 46%.
How many goals will there be in MTK Budapest vs Paks?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MTK Budapest vs Paks?
Our predicted score is MTK Budapest 1–2 Paks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is MTK Budapest vs Paks?
MTK Budapest vs Paks (NB I) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Hidegkuti Nandor Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
