Ujpest 49%Draw 24%MTK Budapest 27%Expected goals 1.88 – 1.25
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUjpest to win49% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.36
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Ujpest v MTK Budapest in the NB I, played at Szusza Ferenc Stadion. In the table, Ujpest are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; MTK Budapest are 10th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
MTK Budapest, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Paks, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ujpest 1.9 xG, MTK Budapest 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ujpest 49%, draw 24%, MTK Budapest 27%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ujpest 1–1 MTK Budapest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ujpest49%fair 2.05 · @2.08
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.25
MTK Budapest27%fair 3.69 · @3.25
3.13Expected goals
1.88Ujpest xG
1.25MTK Budapest xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Ujpest 1.9 – 1.3 MTK Budapest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ujpest to win
49%
2.05
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.65
1.55
Draw no bet
Ujpest (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
MTK Budapest +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Ujpest to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Ujpest ahead at half-time
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ujpest / FT Ujpest
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Ujpest – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Debreceni VSC
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
MTK Budapest – last 5
LDDDL
20 Mar
vs Paks
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Gyori ETO FC
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Diosgyori VTK
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Debreceni VSC
2–2
D
23 Feb
vs Ferencvarosi TC
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ujpest and MTK Budapest.
What is the prediction for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
On our numbers Ujpest have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and MTK Budapest 27%.
How many goals will there be in Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
Our predicted score is Ujpest 1–1 MTK Budapest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest (NB I) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Szusza Ferenc Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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