Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 March the Ekstraklasa brings Jagiellonia against GKS Katowice at Chorten Arena. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Jagiellonia are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; GKS Katowice are 8th (upper half) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jagiellonia, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Lechia Gdansk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
GKS Katowice, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Radomiak Radom, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.7 xG, GKS Katowice 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 52%, draw 25%, GKS Katowice 23%.
Lower-risk option: Jagiellonia or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 GKS Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jagiellonia52%fair 1.93 · @1.81
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.80
GKS Katowice23%fair 4.28 · @3.95
2.82Expected goals
1.69Jagiellonia xG
1.13GKS Katowice xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.7 – 1.1 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win✓
52%
1.93
1.81
Double chance
Jagiellonia or draw✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Draw no bet
Jagiellonia (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
GKS Katowice +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
First team to score
Jagiellonia to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia✓
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Jagiellonia – last 5
LDWDL
6 Mar
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Fiorentina
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
GKS Katowice – last 3
WLD
8 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Arka Gdynia
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and GKS Katowice.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and GKS Katowice 23%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 GKS Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?
Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
