Value bet: GKS Katowice to win @ 2.68 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGKS Katowice to win ✗40% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Arka Gdynia vs GKS Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
GKS Katowice travel to face Arka Gdynia on Sunday 22 February in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion GOSiR the venue – the ball rolls at 12:15 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arka Gdynia 1.2 xG, GKS Katowice 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arka Gdynia 33%, draw 27%, GKS Katowice 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: GKS Katowice to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arka Gdynia 1–1 GKS Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arka Gdynia33%fair 3.00 · @2.68
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.10
GKS Katowice40%fair 2.52 · @2.68
2.62Expected goals
1.22Arka Gdynia xG
1.39GKS Katowice xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 1.2 – 1.4 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GKS Katowice to win✗
40%
2.52
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
GKS Katowice (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Arka Gdynia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
GKS Katowice to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GKS Katowice / FT GKS Katowice✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Arka Gdynia – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Pogon Szczecin
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
GKS Katowice – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and GKS Katowice.
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs GKS Katowice?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs GKS Katowice?
On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and GKS Katowice 40%.
How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs GKS Katowice?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs GKS Katowice?
Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–1 GKS Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arka Gdynia vs GKS Katowice?
Arka Gdynia vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GOSiR.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
