Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Piast Gliwice welcome Motor Lublin to Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Friday 20 February (18:00 WAT). In the table, Piast Gliwice are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Motor Lublin are 10th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piast Gliwice 1.6 xG, Motor Lublin 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piast Gliwice 45%, draw 25%, Motor Lublin 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Motor Lublin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piast Gliwice45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.30
Motor Lublin31%fair 3.27 · @3.25
2.81Expected goals
1.56Piast Gliwice xG
1.26Motor Lublin xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Piast Gliwice 1.6 – 1.3 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piast Gliwice to win✗
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Piast Gliwice (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Motor Lublin +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Piast Gliwice to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piast Gliwice / FT Piast Gliwice✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Piast Gliwice – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piast Gliwice and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers Piast Gliwice have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Motor Lublin 31%.
How many goals will there be in Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is Piast Gliwice 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
