Value bet: Arka Gdynia to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArka Gdynia to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 February the Ekstraklasa brings Arka Gdynia against Lechia Gdansk at Stadion GOSiR. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arka Gdynia 1.7 xG, Lechia Gdansk 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arka Gdynia 40%, draw 25%, Lechia Gdansk 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Arka Gdynia to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arka Gdynia 1–1 Lechia Gdansk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arka Gdynia40%fair 2.53 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.15
Lechia Gdansk35%fair 2.83 · @2.52
3.09Expected goals
1.67Arka Gdynia xG
1.42Lechia Gdansk xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 1.7 – 1.4 Lechia Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✗
40%
2.53
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Draw no bet
Arka Gdynia (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Lechia Gdansk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.10
First team to score
Arka Gdynia to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Arka Gdynia – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Pogon Szczecin
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lechia Gdansk – last 2
LW
23 Feb
vs Zaglebie Lubin
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Motor Lublin
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and Lechia Gdansk.
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lechia Gdansk 35%.
How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–1 Lechia Gdansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GOSiR.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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