Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 2.60 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJagiellonia to win ✗44% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jagiellonia travel to face Lechia Gdansk on Friday 6 March in the Ekstraklasa, with Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT.
Current form
Lechia Gdansk, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Arka Gdynia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Jagiellonia, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Legia Warszawa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lechia Gdansk 1.4 xG, Jagiellonia 1.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lechia Gdansk 33%, draw 23%, Jagiellonia 44%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Jagiellonia to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Jagiellonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lechia Gdansk33%fair 3.03 · @2.44
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.60
Jagiellonia44%fair 2.26 · @2.60
3.30Expected goals
1.43Lechia Gdansk xG
1.87Jagiellonia xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Lechia Gdansk 1.4 – 1.9 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win✗
44%
2.26
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.53
Draw no bet
Jagiellonia (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Lechia Gdansk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
First team to score
Jagiellonia to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Lechia Gdansk – last 3
DLW
27 Feb
@ Arka Gdynia
2–2
D
23 Feb
vs Zaglebie Lubin
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Motor Lublin
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia – last 4
DWDL
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Fiorentina
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lechia Gdansk and Jagiellonia.
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
On our numbers Lechia Gdansk have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jagiellonia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
Our predicted score is Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
