Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✓42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gornik Zabrze welcome Raków Częstochowa to Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 15 March (17:30 WAT). In the table, Gornik Zabrze are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 14 matches; Raków Częstochowa are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gornik Zabrze, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Motor Lublin, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Raków Częstochowa, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fiorentina, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gornik Zabrze 1.5 xG, Raków Częstochowa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gornik Zabrze 42%, draw 26%, Raków Częstochowa 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gornik Zabrze42%fair 2.36 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
Raków Częstochowa32%fair 3.14 · @2.80
2.72Expected goals
1.53Gornik Zabrze xG
1.19Raków Częstochowa xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 1.5 – 1.2 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win✓
42%
2.36
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Gornik Zabrze (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Raków Częstochowa +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Gornik Zabrze to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze✓
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Gornik Zabrze – last 3
DWD
8 Mar
@ Motor Lublin
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Nieciecza
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Raków Częstochowa – last 5
LWDLW
12 Mar
@ Fiorentina
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Pogon Szczecin
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ Avia Świdnik
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
3–4
L
21 Feb
vs Nieciecza
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gornik Zabrze and Raków Częstochowa.
What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Raków Częstochowa 32%.
How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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