Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Monday 16 March: Pogon Szczecin v Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa, played at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. In the table, Pogon Szczecin are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Korona Kielce are 11th (lower half) with 18.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogon Szczecin 1.5 xG, Korona Kielce 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogon Szczecin 47%, draw 25%, Korona Kielce 27%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Korona Kielce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogon Szczecin47%fair 2.11 · @2.02
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.60
Korona Kielce27%fair 3.66 · @3.40
2.55Expected goals
1.51Pogon Szczecin xG
1.04Korona Kielce xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.5 – 1.0 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogon Szczecin to win✓
47%
2.11
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Pogon Szczecin (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Korona Kielce +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.13
First team to score
Pogon Szczecin to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogon Szczecin / FT Pogon Szczecin✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Pogon Szczecin – last 2
LW
8 Mar
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Arka Gdynia
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Korona Kielce – last 2
LW
22 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Radomiak Radom
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogon Szczecin and Korona Kielce.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Korona Kielce 27%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
