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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nieciecza v Motor Lublin: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
1–2
FT
Nieciecza 39%Draw 23%Motor Lublin 38% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.58
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultNieciecza to win ✗39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72

Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Friday 13 March: Nieciecza v Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa, played at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.

Current form

Nieciecza, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Radomiak Radom, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Motor Lublin, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gornik Zabrze, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Motor Lublin, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Nieciecza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nieciecza 1.7 xG, Motor Lublin 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nieciecza 39%, draw 23%, Motor Lublin 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nieciecza 1–1 Motor Lublin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nieciecza39%fair 2.55 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.65
Motor Lublin38%fair 2.63 · @2.65
3.24Expected goals
1.66Nieciecza xG
1.58Motor Lublin xG
66%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.7 – 1.6 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNieciecza to win ✗39%2.552.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.53
Draw no betNieciecza (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapMotor Lublin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.651.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.631.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
First team to scoreNieciecza to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza ✗24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

Nieciecza – last 3

DLD
1 Marvs Radomiak Radom1–1D
21 Feb@ Raków Częstochowa0–1L
16 Febvs Gornik Zabrze1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Motor Lublin – last 3

DWL
8 Marvs Gornik Zabrze0–0D
20 Feb@ Piast Gliwice2–1W
15 Febvs Lechia Gdansk2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Motor Lublin.

Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin?

On our numbers Nieciecza have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Motor Lublin 38%.

How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin?

Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin?

Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.