Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zaglebie Lubin travel to face Motor Lublin on Friday 20 March in the Ekstraklasa, with Motor Lublin Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Motor Lublin are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Zaglebie Lubin are 6th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Motor Lublin, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nieciecza, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Zaglebie Lubin, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lech Poznan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motor Lublin 1.6 xG, Zaglebie Lubin 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motor Lublin 47%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin 29%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motor Lublin 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motor Lublin47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
Zaglebie Lubin29%fair 3.49 · @3.50
2.77Expected goals
1.58Motor Lublin xG
1.19Zaglebie Lubin xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Motor Lublin 1.6 – 1.2 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motor Lublin to win✓
47%
2.14
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Motor Lublin (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Zaglebie Lubin +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Motor Lublin to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motor Lublin / FT Motor Lublin✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Motor Lublin – last 4
WDWL
13 Mar
@ Nieciecza
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Piast Gliwice
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Zaglebie Lubin – last 3
LWW
15 Mar
vs Lech Poznan
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Wisla Plock
2–0
W
23 Feb
@ Lechia Gdansk
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin.
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
On our numbers Motor Lublin have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zaglebie Lubin 29%.
How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Motor Lublin Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
