Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 13 April: Piast Gliwice v Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa, played at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach. In the table, Piast Gliwice are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Pogon Szczecin are 4th (among the top four) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Piast Gliwice, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Nieciecza, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Pogon Szczecin, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Legia Warszawa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piast Gliwice 1.6 xG, Pogon Szczecin 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piast Gliwice 45%, draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piast Gliwice45%fair 2.23 · @2.18
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
Pogon Szczecin31%fair 3.27 · @3.05
2.74Expected goals
1.55Piast Gliwice xG
1.19Pogon Szczecin xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Piast Gliwice 1.6 – 1.2 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piast Gliwice to win✗
45%
2.23
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Draw no bet
Piast Gliwice (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Pogon Szczecin +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.13
First team to score
Piast Gliwice to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piast Gliwice / FT Piast Gliwice✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Piast Gliwice – last 5
LWWLL
6 Apr
@ Nieciecza
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs Radomiak Radom
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Cracovia Krakow
3–2
W
20 Feb
vs Motor Lublin
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pogon Szczecin – last 4
LWLW
6 Apr
vs Legia Warszawa
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Korona Kielce
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Arka Gdynia
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piast Gliwice and Pogon Szczecin.
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Piast Gliwice have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pogon Szczecin 31%.
How many goals will there be in Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Piast Gliwice 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
