Lech Poznan 49%Draw 23%Legia Warszawa 28%Expected goals 1.76 – 1.22
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win49% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.43
Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Legia Warszawa travel to face Lech Poznan on Sunday 26 April in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion Poznan the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Lech Poznan are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; Legia Warszawa are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Lech Poznan, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Nieciecza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Legia Warszawa, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zaglebie Lubin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznan 1.8 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznan 49%, draw 23%, Legia Warszawa 28%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznan 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lech Poznan49%fair 2.04 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.70
Legia Warszawa28%fair 3.57 · @3.45
2.98Expected goals
1.76Lech Poznan xG
1.22Legia Warszawa xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 1.8 – 1.2 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win
49%
2.04
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.60
1.62
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Legia Warszawa +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.15
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Lech Poznan – last 6
WWWLLW
22 Mar
vs Nieciecza
4–1
W
19 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 5
WWDDD
17 Apr
vs Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Pogon Szczecin
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Legia Warszawa 28%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poznan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
