Value bet: Piast Gliwice to win @ 2.76 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPiast Gliwice to win ✗39% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Piast Gliwice travel to face Korona Kielce on Friday 1 May in the Ekstraklasa, with Exbud Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Korona Kielce are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Piast Gliwice are 7th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Korona Kielce, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jagiellonia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Piast Gliwice, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Arka Gdynia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Piast Gliwice, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Korona Kielce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Korona Kielce 1.2 xG, Piast Gliwice 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Korona Kielce 35%, draw 27%, Piast Gliwice 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Piast Gliwice to win @2.76 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Korona Kielce 1–1 Piast Gliwice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Korona Kielce35%fair 2.90 · @2.48
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.25
Piast Gliwice39%fair 2.58 · @2.76
2.52Expected goals
1.18Korona Kielce xG
1.34Piast Gliwice xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.2 – 1.3 Piast Gliwice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piast Gliwice to win✗
39%
2.58
2.76 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Draw no bet
Piast Gliwice (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Korona Kielce +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Piast Gliwice to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piast Gliwice / FT Piast Gliwice✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Korona Kielce – last 6
DLWLLW
10 Apr
vs Jagiellonia
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Lechia Gdansk
2–4
L
22 Mar
vs Arka Gdynia
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Radomiak Radom
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Piast Gliwice – last 6
WDLLWW
27 Apr
vs Arka Gdynia
4–1
W
20 Apr
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Pogon Szczecin
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Nieciecza
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs Radomiak Radom
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Cracovia Krakow
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korona Kielce and Piast Gliwice.
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?
On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Piast Gliwice 39%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?
Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 1–1 Piast Gliwice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?
Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Exbud Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
