Pogon Szczecin v Wisla Plock Prediction & Expected Goals (3 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPogon Szczecin to win51% · @1.90

Double chancePogon Szczecin or draw76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.69

Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 3 May the Ekstraklasa brings Pogon Szczecin against Wisla Plock at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Pogon Szczecin are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Wisla Plock are 12th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Pogon Szczecin, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Piast Gliwice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Wisla Plock, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Radomiak Radom, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Pogon Szczecin, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Wisla Plock.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pogon Szczecin 1.6 xG, Wisla Plock 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pogon Szczecin 51%, draw 25%, Wisla Plock 24%.
Lower-risk option: Pogon Szczecin or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pogon Szczecin or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Wisla Plock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pogon Szczecin51%fair 1.97 · @1.90

Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.65

Wisla Plock24%fair 4.22 · @3.70

2.63Expected goals

1.55Pogon Szczecin xG

1.08Wisla Plock xG

59%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–19%

2–09%

0–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.6 – 1.1 Wisla Plock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pogon Szczecin to win	51%	1.97	1.90
Double chance	Pogon Szczecin or draw	76%	1.31	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	59%	1.69	1.70
Draw no bet	Pogon Szczecin (draw no bet)	68%	1.47	–
Asian handicap	Wisla Plock +1 (Asian handicap)	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.34	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.97	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	71%	1.41	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	85%	1.17	1.13
First team to score	Pogon Szczecin to score first	55%	1.83	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pogon Szczecin / FT Pogon Szczecin	29%	3.46	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	10.69	–

Pogon Szczecin – last 5

WLWLW

13 Apr	@ Piast Gliwice	2–0	W
6 Apr	vs Legia Warszawa	0–2	L
16 Mar	vs Korona Kielce	2–1	W
8 Mar	@ Raków Częstochowa	0–2	L
15 Feb	vs Arka Gdynia	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

20%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

Wisla Plock – last 6

LWWLLL

26 Apr	vs Radomiak Radom	0–1	L
19 Apr	@ Nieciecza	3–1	W
10 Apr	vs Lechia Gdansk	1–0	W
4 Apr	@ GKS Katowice	0–1	L
9 Mar	vs Arka Gdynia	0–3	L
2 Mar	@ Zaglebie Lubin	0–2	L

0.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	4	1	+11	31
3	Legia Warszawa	14	6	6	2	+10	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	+5	24
5	Wisla Krakow	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Zaglebie Lubin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
7	Piast Gliwice	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	GKS Katowice	14	7	0	7	+5	21
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	0	6	0	21
10	Motor Lublin	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Korona Kielce	14	5	3	6	-7	18
12	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	-7	15
13	Widzew Łódź	14	2	8	4	+1	14
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Cracovia Krakow	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Raków Częstochowa	14	4	0	10	-8	12
17	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	-8	10
18	Wieczysta Kraków	14	2	2	10	-10	8

Team

Pts

+21

+11

+10

-2

-7

-7

-12

-7

-8

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?

Our pick is Pogon Szczecin or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?

On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Wisla Plock 24%.

How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?

Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Wisla Plock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?

Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pogon Szczecin v Wisla Plock: numbers & prediction