Value bet: Radomiak Radom to win @ 3.65 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCracovia Krakow to win ✗44% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Radomiak Radom travel to face Cracovia Krakow on Monday 11 May in the Ekstraklasa, with Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Cracovia Krakow are 15th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Radomiak Radom are 14th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cracovia Krakow, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zaglebie Lubin, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Radomiak Radom, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lechia Gdansk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Radomiak Radom, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.6 for Cracovia Krakow.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cracovia Krakow 1.6 xG, Radomiak Radom 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cracovia Krakow 44%, draw 24%, Radomiak Radom 32%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Radomiak Radom to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Radomiak Radom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cracovia Krakow44%fair 2.26 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Radomiak Radom32%fair 3.16 · @3.65
2.89Expected goals
1.58Cracovia Krakow xG
1.31Radomiak Radom xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cracovia Krakow 1.6 – 1.3 Radomiak Radom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cracovia Krakow to win✗
44%
2.26
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Cracovia Krakow (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Radomiak Radom +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Cracovia Krakow to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cracovia Krakow / FT Cracovia Krakow✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Cracovia Krakow – last 5
DLDLD
3 May
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Raków Częstochowa
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Arka Gdynia
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Piast Gliwice
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Radomiak Radom – last 6
WWDLDL
4 May
vs Lechia Gdansk
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Wisla Plock
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Motor Lublin
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Piast Gliwice
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs GKS Katowice
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cracovia Krakow and Radomiak Radom.
What is the prediction for Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
On our numbers Cracovia Krakow have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Radomiak Radom 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
Our predicted score is Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Radomiak Radom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
