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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Heerenveen v PEC Zwolle: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen 68%Draw 19%PEC Zwolle 12% Expected goals 2.45 – 0.91
68%
Betarazi pick

Heerenveen to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.52Odds

Picks by market

ResultHeerenveen to win ✓68% · @1.52
Double chanceHeerenveen or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

PEC Zwolle travel to face Heerenveen on Sunday 15 February in the Eredivisie, with Abe Lenstra Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Heerenveen are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 12 matches; PEC Zwolle are 13th (lower half) with 12.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Heerenveen 2.5 xG, PEC Zwolle 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Heerenveen 68%, draw 19%, PEC Zwolle 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Heerenveen or draw (88%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Heerenveen to win (68%, odds 1.52 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heerenveen 2–0 PEC Zwolle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Heerenveen68%fair 1.47 · @1.52
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.40
PEC Zwolle12%fair 8.09 · @5.50
3.36Expected goals
2.45Heerenveen xG
0.91PEC Zwolle xG
58%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–09%
3–18%
1–18%

From our goals model: Heerenveen 2.5 – 0.9 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeerenveen to win ✓68%1.471.52
Double chanceHeerenveen or draw ✓88%1.141.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.55
Draw no betHeerenveen (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapHeerenveen -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.771.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
First team to scoreHeerenveen to score first70%1.42–
Half-time resultHeerenveen ahead at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heerenveen / FT Heerenveen ✗48%2.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Heerenveen

No recent results on record.

PEC Zwolle

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle.

Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

Our pick is Heerenveen to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.

Who will win Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

On our numbers Heerenveen have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and PEC Zwolle 12%.

How many goals will there be in Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

Our predicted score is Heerenveen 2–0 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.