Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
Picks by market
ResultFortuna Sittard to win ✓44% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.74
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 20 February: Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior in the Eredivisie, played at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. In the table, Fortuna Sittard are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Excelsior are 15th (lower half) with 11.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortuna Sittard 1.7 xG, Excelsior 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortuna Sittard 44%, draw 24%, Excelsior 32%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.63.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortuna Sittard44%fair 2.25 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.50
Excelsior32%fair 3.11 · @2.85
3.08Expected goals
1.74Fortuna Sittard xG
1.34Excelsior xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Fortuna Sittard 1.7 – 1.3 Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortuna Sittard to win✓
44%
2.25
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.63
Draw no bet
Fortuna Sittard (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Excelsior +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.13
First team to score
Fortuna Sittard to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortuna Sittard / FT Fortuna Sittard✓
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Fortuna Sittard
No recent results on record.
Excelsior
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
On our numbers Fortuna Sittard have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Excelsior 32%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
