Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultGroningen to win ✗41% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
PEC Zwolle vs Groningen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Groningen travel to face PEC Zwolle on Friday 13 March in the Eredivisie, with IJsseldelta Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, PEC Zwolle are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Groningen are 9th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
PEC Zwolle, last 4: DDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sparta Rotterdam, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PEC Zwolle 1.4 xG, Groningen 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 23%, Groningen 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: PEC Zwolle 1–1 Groningen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PEC Zwolle35%fair 2.83 · @2.64
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.70
Groningen41%fair 2.42 · @2.38
3.07Expected goals
1.43PEC Zwolle xG
1.64Groningen xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: PEC Zwolle 1.4 – 1.6 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✗
41%
2.42
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Draw no bet
Groningen (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
PEC Zwolle +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
First team to score
Groningen to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
PEC Zwolle – last 4
DDDL
8 Mar
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Ajax
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Utrecht
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Heerenveen
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Groningen – last 2
LL
1 Mar
@ FC Volendam
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Twente
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PEC Zwolle and Groningen.
What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
On our numbers PEC Zwolle have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Groningen 41%.
How many goals will there be in PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
Our predicted score is PEC Zwolle 1–1 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
PEC Zwolle vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at IJsseldelta Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
