PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSV Eindhoven welcome PEC Zwolle to Philips Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Thursday 23 April (20:00 WAT). In the table, PSV Eindhoven are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 12 matches; PEC Zwolle are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
PSV Eindhoven, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Telstar, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
PEC Zwolle, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Excelsior, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours PEC Zwolle, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for PSV Eindhoven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSV Eindhoven 3.0 xG, PEC Zwolle 0.9 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSV Eindhoven 77%, draw 15%, PEC Zwolle 9%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was PSV Eindhoven to win (77%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSV Eindhoven 2–0 PEC Zwolle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSV Eindhoven77%fair 1.30 · @1.21
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @6.75
PEC Zwolle9%fair 11.52 · @11.00
3.89Expected goals
2.99PSV Eindhoven xG
0.90PEC Zwolle xG
59%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
3–09%
2–18%
3–18%
4–07%
4–16%
From our goals model: PSV Eindhoven 3.0 – 0.9 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
77%
1.30
1.21
Double chance
PSV Eindhoven or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.53
Draw no bet
PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
PSV Eindhoven -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.62
First team to score
PSV Eindhoven to score first✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
56%
1.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
PSV Eindhoven – last 3
LLL
22 Mar
@ Telstar
1–3
L
3 Mar
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ FC Volendam
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle – last 6
DLDDDD
12 Apr
vs Excelsior
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ GO Ahead Eagles
0–5
L
13 Mar
vs Groningen
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Ajax
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Utrecht
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSV Eindhoven and PEC Zwolle.
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
Our pick is PSV Eindhoven to win with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers PSV Eindhoven have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and PEC Zwolle 9%.
How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 2–0 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Philips Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
