Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Górnik Łęczna to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGórnik Łęczna to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceGórnik Łęczna or draw ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Górnik Łęczna welcome Stal Mielec to Bogdanka Arena for a I Liga fixture on Friday 13 February (18:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Łęczna 2.2 xG, Stal Mielec 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Łęczna 59%, draw 22%, Stal Mielec 19%.
Lower-risk option: Górnik Łęczna or draw (81%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Górnik Łęczna to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Górnik Łęczna or draw (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Łęczna 2–1 Stal Mielec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Górnik Łęczna59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.45
Stal Mielec19%fair 5.19 · @3.50
3.31Expected goals
2.23Górnik Łęczna xG
1.08Stal Mielec xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Górnik Łęczna 2.2 – 1.1 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Górnik Łęczna to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Górnik Łęczna or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
Górnik Łęczna (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Górnik Łęczna -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
Górnik Łęczna to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Górnik Łęczna ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Górnik Łęczna / FT Górnik Łęczna✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Górnik Łęczna
No recent results on record.
Stal Mielec
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Łęczna and Stal Mielec.
What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Górnik Łęczna or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Górnik Łęczna have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stal Mielec 19%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Górnik Łęczna 2–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Bogdanka Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
