Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polonia Bytom welcome Pogoń Siedlce to Stadion Polonii Bytom for a I Liga fixture on Sunday 22 February (17:30 WAT). In the table, Polonia Bytom are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Pogoń Siedlce are 10th (lower half) with 19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Bytom 1.7 xG, Pogoń Siedlce 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Bytom 54%, draw 25%, Pogoń Siedlce 21%.
Lower-risk option: Polonia Bytom or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Bytom 1–1 Pogoń Siedlce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Bytom54%fair 1.84 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.75
Pogoń Siedlce21%fair 4.77 · @4.33
2.84Expected goals
1.72Polonia Bytom xG
1.12Pogoń Siedlce xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Polonia Bytom 1.7 – 1.1 Pogoń Siedlce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Bytom to win✗
54%
1.84
1.67
Double chance
Polonia Bytom or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Draw no bet
Polonia Bytom (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Siedlce +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Polonia Bytom to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Bytom / FT Polonia Bytom✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Polonia Bytom – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pogoń Siedlce – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Ruch Chorzów
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Bytom and Pogoń Siedlce.
What is the prediction for Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
On our numbers Polonia Bytom have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pogoń Siedlce 21%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Our predicted score is Polonia Bytom 1–1 Pogoń Siedlce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii Bytom.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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