Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stal Mielec welcome ŁKS Łódź to Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu for a I Liga fixture on Monday 23 February (18:00 WAT). In the table, Stal Mielec are 11th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; ŁKS Łódź are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stal Mielec 1.3 xG, ŁKS Łódź 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stal Mielec 30%, draw 26%, ŁKS Łódź 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stal Mielec 1–1 ŁKS Łódź. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stal Mielec30%fair 3.35 · @3.25
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.25
ŁKS Łódź44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
2.80Expected goals
1.27Stal Mielec xG
1.52ŁKS Łódź xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Stal Mielec 1.3 – 1.5 ŁKS Łódź expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ŁKS Łódź to win✓
44%
2.27
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
ŁKS Łódź (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Stal Mielec +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
ŁKS Łódź to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ŁKS Łódź / FT ŁKS Łódź✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Stal Mielec – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Górnik Łęczna
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
ŁKS Łódź
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stal Mielec and ŁKS Łódź.
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź?
On our numbers Stal Mielec have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ŁKS Łódź 44%.
How many goals will there be in Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź?
Our predicted score is Stal Mielec 1–1 ŁKS Łódź, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź?
Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź (I Liga) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.