Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 6 March: Puszcza Niepołomice v Pogoń Siedlce in the I Liga, played at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach. In the table, Puszcza Niepołomice are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 14 matches; Pogoń Siedlce are 10th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Puszcza Niepołomice, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tychy 71, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Pogoń Siedlce, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Górnik Łęczna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puszcza Niepołomice 1.4 xG, Pogoń Siedlce 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puszcza Niepołomice 43%, draw 26%, Pogoń Siedlce 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puszcza Niepołomice 1–1 Pogoń Siedlce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puszcza Niepołomice43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Pogoń Siedlce31%fair 3.23 · @3.00
2.55Expected goals
1.42Puszcza Niepołomice xG
1.13Pogoń Siedlce xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Puszcza Niepołomice 1.4 – 1.1 Pogoń Siedlce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puszcza Niepołomice to win✓
43%
2.31
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.77
Draw no bet
Puszcza Niepołomice (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Siedlce +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Puszcza Niepołomice to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puszcza Niepołomice / FT Puszcza Niepołomice✓
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Puszcza Niepołomice – last 3
WWL
1 Mar
@ Tychy 71
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Stal Rzeszów
4–1
W
15 Feb
@ Wieczysta Kraków
1–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pogoń Siedlce – last 3
DDW
27 Feb
vs Górnik Łęczna
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Polonia Bytom
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Ruch Chorzów
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puszcza Niepołomice and Pogoń Siedlce.
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
On our numbers Puszcza Niepołomice have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pogoń Siedlce 31%.
How many goals will there be in Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Our predicted score is Puszcza Niepołomice 1–1 Pogoń Siedlce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tychy 710