Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.03
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the I Liga brings Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki against Stal Mielec at Stadion Znicza. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Stal Mielec are 11th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stal Mielec, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Wieczysta Kraków, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.7 xG, Stal Mielec 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 43%, draw 24%, Stal Mielec 33%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Stal Mielec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Stal Mielec33%fair 3.04 · @2.80
3.14Expected goals
1.72Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
1.43Stal Mielec xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.7 – 1.4 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win✗
43%
2.32
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Draw no bet
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Stal Mielec +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / FT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.03
–
Recent results
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 2
LD
20 Mar
@ Górnik Łęczna
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Wisla Krakow
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stal Mielec – last 5
WWWLD
22 Mar
vs Wieczysta Kraków
3–1
W
6 Mar
vs Tychy 71
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Odra Opole
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Górnik Łęczna
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Stal Mielec.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stal Mielec 33%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Znicza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wisla Krakow3
Górnik Łęczna2