Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Pogoń Siedlce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Pogoń Siedlce in the I Liga, played at Stadion Znicza. In the table, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Pogoń Siedlce are 10th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Stal Mielec, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tychy 71, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pogoń Siedlce, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.4 xG, Pogoń Siedlce 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 44%, draw 26%, Pogoń Siedlce 31%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Pogoń Siedlce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki44%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
Pogoń Siedlce31%fair 3.24 · @3.30
2.67Expected goals
1.45Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
1.22Pogoń Siedlce xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.4 – 1.2 Pogoń Siedlce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win✗
44%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Draw no bet
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Siedlce +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / FT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 3
LLD
6 Apr
vs Stal Mielec
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Górnik Łęczna
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Wisla Krakow
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
LLWLDD
12 Apr
vs Tychy 71
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Chrobry Głogów
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Znicz Pruszków
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
0–3
L
27 Feb
vs Górnik Łęczna
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Polonia Bytom
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Pogoń Siedlce.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Pogoń Siedlce?
On our numbers Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pogoń Siedlce 31%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Pogoń Siedlce?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Pogoń Siedlce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Pogoń Siedlce (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Znicza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wisla Krakow1