Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultRuch Chorzów to win ✗55% · @1.70
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the I Liga brings Ruch Chorzów against Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Ruch Chorzów are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th (upper half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ruch Chorzów, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wisla Krakow, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pogoń Siedlce, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ruch Chorzów, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.3 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ruch Chorzów 1.7 xG, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ruch Chorzów 55%, draw 25%, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 20%.
Lower-risk option: Ruch Chorzów or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ruch Chorzów or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ruch Chorzów 1–0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ruch Chorzów55%fair 1.82 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.75
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki20%fair 4.94 · @3.80
2.63Expected goals
1.69Ruch Chorzów xG
0.94Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ruch Chorzów 1.7 – 0.9 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ruch Chorzów to win✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Double chance
Ruch Chorzów or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Draw no bet
Ruch Chorzów (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Ruch Chorzów to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ruch Chorzów / FT Ruch Chorzów✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Ruch Chorzów – last 5
DDWWL
19 Apr
vs Wisla Krakow
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Chrobry Głogów
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Polonia Bytom
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Pogoń Siedlce
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 4
LLLD
19 Apr
vs Pogoń Siedlce
0–2
L
6 Apr
vs Stal Mielec
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Górnik Łęczna
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Wisla Krakow
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ruch Chorzów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
What is the prediction for Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our pick is Ruch Chorzów or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
On our numbers Ruch Chorzów have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our predicted score is Ruch Chorzów 1–0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (I Liga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
