On Sunday 1 March the Jupiler Pro League brings Genk against Gent at Cegeka Arena. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Genk are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Gent are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Genk, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genk 1.5 xG, Gent 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genk 48%, draw 26%, Gent 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genk 1–1 Gent. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genk48%fair 2.10 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.95
Gent26%fair 3.79 · @4.33
2.71Expected goals
1.45Genk xG
1.26Gent xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Genk 1.5 – 1.3 Gent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genk to win✓
48%
2.10
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Draw no bet
Genk (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Gent +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
First team to score
Genk to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genk / FT Genk✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Genk – last 4
LLWW
26 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Standard Liege
0–3
L
19 Feb
@ Dinamo Zagreb
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gent – last 1
L
20 Feb
vs Cercle Brugge
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genk and Gent.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Genk vs Gent?
On our numbers Genk have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gent 26%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs Gent?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genk vs Gent?
Our predicted score is Genk 1–1 Gent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Genk vs Gent?
Genk vs Gent (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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