Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultGenk to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Genk vs St. Truiden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Jupiler Pro League brings Genk against St. Truiden at Cegeka Arena. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Genk are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; St. Truiden are 12th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Genk, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SC Freiburg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
St. Truiden, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cercle Brugge, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours St. Truiden, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Genk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genk 1.5 xG, St. Truiden 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genk 41%, draw 24%, St. Truiden 34%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genk 1–1 St. Truiden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genk41%fair 2.41 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
St. Truiden34%fair 2.92 · @2.90
2.94Expected goals
1.53Genk xG
1.41St. Truiden xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Genk 1.5 – 1.4 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genk to win✓
41%
2.41
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Draw no bet
Genk (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
St. Truiden +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Genk to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genk / FT Genk✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Genk – last 6
WWLLWW
12 Mar
vs SC Freiburg
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Gent
3–0
W
26 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Standard Liege
0–3
L
19 Feb
@ Dinamo Zagreb
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
St. Truiden – last 3
WWW
8 Mar
vs Cercle Brugge
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Dender
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Zulte Waregem
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genk and St. Truiden.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Genk vs St. Truiden?
On our numbers Genk have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. Truiden 34%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genk vs St. Truiden?
Our predicted score is Genk 1–1 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Genk vs St. Truiden?
Genk vs St. Truiden (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
