Value bet: Dundee Utd to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDundee Utd to win ✓45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.72
Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 March the Premiership brings Dundee Utd against ST Mirren at Tannadice Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Dundee Utd are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; ST Mirren are 8th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dundee Utd, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aberdeen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundee Utd 1.6 xG, ST Mirren 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundee Utd 45%, draw 25%, ST Mirren 30%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Dundee Utd to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundee Utd 1–1 ST Mirren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundee Utd45%fair 2.24 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
ST Mirren30%fair 3.31 · @2.85
2.70Expected goals
1.56Dundee Utd xG
1.14ST Mirren xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Dundee Utd 1.6 – 1.1 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundee Utd to win✓
45%
2.24
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.73
Draw no bet
Dundee Utd (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
ST Mirren +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Dundee Utd to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundee Utd / FT Dundee Utd✓
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Dundee Utd – last 3
DDW
24 Feb
vs Aberdeen
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Kilmarnock
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Spartans
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
ST Mirren
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundee Utd and ST Mirren.
What is the prediction for Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Dundee Utd have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ST Mirren 30%.
How many goals will there be in Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Dundee Utd 1–1 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Tannadice Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
