Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Ayr Utd v Queen's Park in the Championship, played at Somerset Park. In the table, Ayr Utd are 7th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Queen's Park are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Ayr Utd, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arbroath, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ayr Utd 1.5 xG, Queen's Park 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ayr Utd 54%, draw 26%, Queen's Park 20%.
Lower-risk option: Ayr Utd or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayr Utd 1–0 Queen's Park. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ayr Utd54%fair 1.86 · @1.78
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.40
Queen's Park20%fair 4.93 · @4.20
2.46Expected goals
1.55Ayr Utd xG
0.91Queen's Park xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 1.5 – 0.9 Queen's Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ayr Utd
Queen's Park
Attack vs Championship average
-8%
-31%
Goals conceded vs average
+27%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.44
0.94
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ayr Utd to win✗
54%
1.86
1.78
Double chance
Ayr Utd or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
Ayr Utd (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Queen's Park +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ayr Utd to score first
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ayr Utd / FT Ayr Utd✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Ayr Utd – last 3
DLD
3 Mar
@ Arbroath
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Inverness CT
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Ross County
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Queen's Park – last 2
DW
24 Feb
vs ST Johnstone
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Morton
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ayr Utd and Queen's Park.
What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Queen's Park 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 1–0 Queen's Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park?
Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
