Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Dunfermline to win @ 3.15 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDunfermline to win ✓39% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dunfermline travel to face Ayr Utd on Tuesday 7 April in the Championship, with Somerset Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Ayr Utd are 7th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Dunfermline are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Ayr Utd, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Raith Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Dunfermline, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ross County, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dunfermline, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.4 for Ayr Utd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ayr Utd 1.0 xG, Dunfermline 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ayr Utd 34%, draw 27%, Dunfermline 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Dunfermline to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayr Utd 0–1 Dunfermline. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ayr Utd34%fair 2.98 · @2.18
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.20
Dunfermline39%fair 2.54 · @3.15
2.31Expected goals
0.98Ayr Utd xG
1.33Dunfermline xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 1.0 – 1.3 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ayr Utd
Dunfermline
Attack vs Championship average
-8%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
+27%
-39%
Our expected goals here
0.72
1.35
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dunfermline to win✓
39%
2.54
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Dunfermline (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Ayr Utd +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Dunfermline to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dunfermline / FT Dunfermline✓
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Ayr Utd – last 5
LLDLD
27 Mar
@ Raith Rovers
0–3
L
10 Mar
vs Queen's Park
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Arbroath
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Inverness CT
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Ross County
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Dunfermline – last 4
WDLL
3 Mar
vs Ross County
3–0
W
24 Feb
vs Partick
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Arbroath
2–4
L
17 Feb
@ Morton
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ayr Utd and Dunfermline.
What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Dunfermline 39%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 0–1 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
