Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Raith Rovers to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raith Rovers welcome Ayr Utd to Stark's Park for a Championship fixture on Friday 27 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Raith Rovers are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Ayr Utd are 7th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Ayr Utd, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Queen's Park, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raith Rovers 1.5 xG, Ayr Utd 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raith Rovers 49%, draw 25%, Ayr Utd 26%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Raith Rovers to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raith Rovers 1–1 Ayr Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raith Rovers49%fair 2.04 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Ayr Utd26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
2.37Expected goals
1.55Raith Rovers xG
0.83Ayr Utd xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.5 – 0.8 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
Attack vs Championship average
+14%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-30%
+27%
Our expected goals here
1.84
0.69
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raith Rovers to win✓
49%
2.04
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.95
Draw no bet
Raith Rovers (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Ayr Utd +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Raith Rovers to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers✓
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Raith Rovers – last 2
LD
24 Mar
vs Partick
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs ST Johnstone
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ayr Utd – last 4
LDLD
10 Mar
vs Queen's Park
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Arbroath
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Inverness CT
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Ross County
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raith Rovers and Ayr Utd.
What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ayr Utd 26%.
How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–1 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stark's Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ross County1