Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Peterhead v Alloa Athletic in the League One, played at Balmoor. In the table, Peterhead are 7th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Alloa Athletic are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peterhead 1.3 xG, Alloa Athletic 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peterhead 35%, draw 26%, Alloa Athletic 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peterhead 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peterhead35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
Alloa Athletic38%fair 2.60 · @2.55
2.61Expected goals
1.29Peterhead xG
1.33Alloa Athletic xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Peterhead 1.3 – 1.3 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Peterhead
Alloa Athletic
Attack vs League One average
-29%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.24
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✗
38%
2.60
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Draw no bet
Alloa Athletic (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Peterhead +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Alloa Athletic to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.05
–
Recent results
Peterhead
No recent results on record.
Alloa Athletic – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Hamilton Academical
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peterhead and Alloa Athletic.
What is the prediction for Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
On our numbers Peterhead have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Alloa Athletic 38%.
How many goals will there be in Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
Our predicted score is Peterhead 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Balmoor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.