Value bet: Stranraer to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStranraer to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Dumbarton vs Stranraer: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dumbarton welcome Stranraer to Marbill Coaches Stadium for a League Two fixture on Tuesday 10 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Dumbarton are 6th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Stranraer are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dumbarton 1.1 xG, Stranraer 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dumbarton 32%, draw 26%, Stranraer 42%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Stranraer to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dumbarton 1–1 Stranraer. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dumbarton32%fair 3.16 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
Stranraer42%fair 2.38 · @2.55
2.58Expected goals
1.09Dumbarton xG
1.49Stranraer xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Dumbarton 1.1 – 1.5 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Dumbarton
Stranraer
Attack vs League Two average
-19%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-45%
Our expected goals here
0.84
1.42
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stranraer to win✗
42%
2.38
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Draw no bet
Stranraer (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Dumbarton +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Stranraer to score first✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stranraer / FT Stranraer✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Dumbarton – last 2
DL
24 Feb
vs Clyde
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ East Kilbride
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stranraer – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Spartans
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dumbarton and Stranraer.
What is the prediction for Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
On our numbers Dumbarton have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stranraer 42%.
How many goals will there be in Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
Our predicted score is Dumbarton 1–1 Stranraer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
Dumbarton vs Stranraer (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Marbill Coaches Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
