Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓54% · @1.94
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:45 WAT, Sunday 22 February: HNK Hajduk Split v HNK Rijeka in the HNL, played at Stadion Poljud. In the table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; HNK Rijeka are 6th (lower half) with 18.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 1.7 xG, HNK Rijeka 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 54%, draw 25%, HNK Rijeka 21%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HNK Hajduk Split or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Hajduk Split54%fair 1.84 · @1.94
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
HNK Rijeka21%fair 4.86 · @3.85
2.54Expected goals
1.65HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.89HNK Rijeka xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 1.7 – 0.9 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✓
54%
1.84
1.94 ▲
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
HNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
HNK Rijeka +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
HNK Hajduk Split to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
HNK Hajduk Split – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ NK Osijek
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
HNK Rijeka – last 1
W
19 Feb
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Hajduk Split and HNK Rijeka.
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HNK Rijeka 21%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
