Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIstra 1961 to win ✗52% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Istra 1961 welcome HNK Gorica to Stadion Aldo Drosina for a HNL fixture on Saturday 21 February (15:00 WAT). In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; HNK Gorica are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 1.8 xG, HNK Gorica 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 52%, draw 23%, HNK Gorica 25%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Istra 1961 to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196152%fair 1.92 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
HNK Gorica25%fair 4.05 · @3.40
2.79Expected goals
1.82Istra 1961 xG
0.97HNK Gorica xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.8 – 1.0 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Istra 1961 to win✗
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Istra 1961 (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
HNK Gorica +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.07
First team to score
Istra 1961 to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Istra 1961 ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Istra 1961 / FT Istra 1961✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Istra 1961
No recent results on record.
HNK Gorica – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Vukovar
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and HNK Gorica.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HNK Gorica 25%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?
Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
