HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: HNK Rijeka v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in the HNL, played at Stadion HNK Rijeka. In the table, HNK Rijeka are 6th, lower half, on 18 points after 12 matches; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Omonia Nicosia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 1.7 xG, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 57%, draw 25%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 18%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Rijeka57%fair 1.75 · @1.61
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.70
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb18%fair 5.58 · @5.00
2.60Expected goals
1.68HNK Rijeka xG
0.91NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.7 – 0.9 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
57%
1.75
1.61
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
HNK Rijeka (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
HNK Rijeka to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✓
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
HNK Rijeka – last 3
WLW
26 Feb
vs Omonia Nicosia
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs NK Osijek
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 18%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
