Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNK Slaven Belupo to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.24
NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 February the HNL brings NK Slaven Belupo against Istra 1961 at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, NK Slaven Belupo are 7th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Istra 1961 are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Slaven Belupo 1.5 xG, Istra 1961 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Slaven Belupo 40%, draw 24%, Istra 1961 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Istra 1961 to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 Istra 1961. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Slaven Belupo40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Istra 196136%fair 2.80 · @3.30
3.06Expected goals
1.49NK Slaven Belupo xG
1.57Istra 1961 xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 1.5 – 1.6 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Slaven Belupo to win✓
40%
2.50
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
NK Slaven Belupo (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
NK Slaven Belupo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Istra 1961 to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Istra 1961 / FT Istra 1961✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.24
–
Recent results
NK Slaven Belupo – last 2
DW
20 Feb
@ Vukovar
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Istra 1961 – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs HNK Gorica
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and Istra 1961.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Istra 1961 36%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961?
NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
