Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIstra 1961 to win ✗43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 6 March: Istra 1961 v NK Osijek in the HNL, played at Stadion Aldo Drosina. In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; NK Osijek are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 1.5 xG, NK Osijek 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 43%, draw 26%, NK Osijek 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Istra 1961 to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 1–1 NK Osijek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196143%fair 2.35 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @2.90
NK Osijek31%fair 3.23 · @2.68
2.62Expected goals
1.52Istra 1961 xG
1.09NK Osijek xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.5 – 1.1 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Istra 1961 to win✗
43%
2.35
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Istra 1961 (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
NK Osijek +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Istra 1961 to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Istra 1961 / FT Istra 1961✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Istra 1961 – last 2
LL
27 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs HNK Gorica
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
NK Osijek – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and NK Osijek.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and NK Osijek 31%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
