Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NK Varazdin travel to face Istra 1961 on Friday 20 March in the HNL, with Stadion Aldo Drosina the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; NK Varazdin are 5th (upper half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Istra 1961, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over HNK Rijeka, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
NK Varazdin, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vukovar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 1.4 xG, NK Varazdin 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 39%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 1–1 NK Varazdin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196139%fair 2.55 · @2.66
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @2.66
NK Varazdin31%fair 3.20 · @2.94
2.50Expected goals
1.37Istra 1961 xG
1.13NK Varazdin xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.4 – 1.1 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Istra 1961 to win✓
39%
2.55
2.66
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Istra 1961 (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
NK Varazdin +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Istra 1961 to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Istra 1961 / FT Istra 1961✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Istra 1961 – last 4
WLLL
15 Mar
@ HNK Rijeka
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs NK Osijek
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs HNK Gorica
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
NK Varazdin – last 3
WLL
13 Mar
vs Vukovar
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs HNK Gorica
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and NK Varazdin.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and NK Varazdin 31%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
